Friday, August 25, 2006

Friday Roundup

Quote of the day

You are stopped whilst driving, given a breathalizer test, it shows a blood alcohol above the legal limit . . . yet you know that you have not had anything to drink. Would you (1) challenge the functioning of the breathalizer unit or the competency of the person adminstering the test or (2) say, "Gee, I don't want to undermine the credibility of the breathalizer test because as a society we sure want to rid our streets of drunk drivers, therefore I will simply be quiet and take whatever punishment is meted out." (link)
Optimism remains, but pissed at process, says Rant your head off, also with comment from me.

Letters to CyclingNews remind us of Diane Modahl, who eventually proved sample mishandling and got off; Agreement that it might have been natural; How can you judge Floyd's character when you don't know him?; What else can Pound/WADA do, really?

Perdiguero leads Phonak at Vuelta, team packed with Swiss to get exposure in the team's last grand tour.

Excellent review at the UK Sports Journalist's Association, a source I will mine further.
It includes the single best explanation and history of the T/E test I have yet seen.

Speaking of Diane Modahl...

Case finally dropped, report in NYT
She doesn't get to sue the Federation for damages, say the Lords.
Used as a Case study, note the panic in practice press conferences.

Problems at WADA will ‘drive innocent athletes out of sport’, says report in Feb 06 citing Modahl case. Full report buried in this magazine [pdf].

Floyd did take an IV, according to links in this discussion on DP forums, and in BikeForums on Aug 8, from this LA Times article. There are observations that this contradicts statements he made at a press conference that he didn't take one. A defender points out in BikeForum that if he had the IV in the afternoon right after the stage, it wasn't "that night" as asked in the question in the press conference. Yikes, that's the kind of nuance that drives some people crazy.

Petition pointed to by daily peloton forums, and on Bicycling forum.

Another Phonak related scandal -- points to the mother company!

Finally, the Bicycling Magazine had one more article that I didn't mention in yesterday's roundup. By Bill Strickland, "And it Breaks my Heart" is subtitled "Our cycling generation's greatest racing moment was stolen from us." He discusses Eddy Merckx' legendary attack in 1969 as the definitive moment for a generation of cyclists, and how our equivalent has been emotionally stolen from us.

Ain't it the truth, Bro.

Amen.

[ updated Sat 10:00 AM ]

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Thursday, August 24, 2006

Thursday Roundup

QoD

I don't really buy into the idea that things happen for a reason, but I do accept whatever I'm given in life and try to make the best of it. I don't sit around feeling sorry for myself. That's not my personality.
-Floyd, in Bicycling interview.
It really was the beer, more Fine research.
Accept it, article by Simon Brooke, active in USENET debate.
Floyd and Jan lose UCI Rankings, says CyclingPost. What rule?
Phonak, Astana can ride out the season, says UCI.
I don't need to be right, says supportive blogger.
Another petition pointer, from a supportive blogger.
Make it go away, wants blogger, links Bicycling interview below.

Different Testosterones, described on sci.chem

Floyd Interview in Bicycling. Looks like one from the PR round a few weeks ago. What is online is only an excerpt, with the full one saved for the Sept 1 magazine run. If some miscreant posts it online somewhere, I don't know if I'll post a pointer. When I see it, I'll probably just paraphrase anything interesting.

Mr. Mailman had left my copy for when I got home. Now I've got it before me.

It's more relaxed sounding than the TV appearances of the same period, more like what I've come to expect from him. He goes into some whining about the confidentiality problems, and how everything blindsided him. The experience gives him pause to question whether the system really works the way it should. He thinks when he gets prepared, he should be able to fight. (I guess he doesn't yet know how stacked it is against him.) He agrees it'll be a great comeback story to have overcome the allegations. Hadn't done much riding after the Tour. Expects to do the hip surgery within 8 weeks of the end of the tour. (That might make it tough to do his own tests for a defense.)

He credits the win at Morzine more to the weakness and confusion of the field than his own strength. He says his own output was less than previous (good) days. He used his power meter to monitor what he was doing, and has great confidence in it and knowledge of what he can do to prevent blowing up.

Two companion articles take the sides of guilty or not. The innocent article has a bunch of the stuff you'd have expected to see in the tour wrapup before hell broke loose-- the hip announcement brought him a lot of information from specialists who may help. He stuck with Phonak in '05 expecting a quid-pro-quo of support with the hip. Wants to believe and will until the fork is stuck in it for good. Essentially, it ignores the test result facts completely.

The guilty article pulls out the facts-- 11:1 measured T/E, 4:1 rule limit, 1:1 normal; "Silver bullet" CIR test showed Landis over a 3 part per million limit, but no reported value (we've heard it was 3.99, but not authoritatively). Phonak has a history of doping. Sample tampering is unlikely. The simple explanation is that he's a doper. Then complains about why Cycling is being picked on compared to other sports when it is actually doing something.

No enlightenment there. If you're reading this, you are already probably better informed.

[ updated 22:13 ]

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A bunch of references and old stuff

Here's a GREAT search site to remember: http://scholar.google.com

All of the the science, none of the babble. It's like that new WWW thing of the research community way back in Nineteen Ninety and Three.

Some links found from there, and elsewhere.

CAS history, in Olympic context.
You can get off if you are a horse with cancer.
Detailed puff piece on CIR tests, with graphics of output displays.
How good is CIR for T-Doping, real paper from 2001.
Mass Spectrometry in Doping Control, real paper from 2005.
Detecting Epi-T Doping using IRMS, real paper from 2002.
Diet change may affect IRMS, real paper from Feb 06, abstract only.
iPod should be banned, observes Doping Control Journal in 2004.
Effects of feed and age on IRMS of T in cows, real paper from 2000; abstract only.

Mass Spectrometry in Sports Drug testing, real paper, preprint; abstract only.
Civil Rights, Doping Control and the World Anti-doping Code, journal article from 2004; no text, no abstract.
A Constant Battle..., Duke Law Journal article, discusses strict liability standard.
IAAF Arbitration Panel Heritage, superceded by CAS.
CAS settled disputes 'within the family of sport'; Yes, eat the young.
Doping Control from a Global and National Perspective, abstract only.
The Strict Liability Principle and the Human Rights of the Athlete in Doping Cases, legal doctoral disstertation, in dutch; abstract only.

Drug-Monitoring.com, website of a journal. 23 articles hit for 'doping'

Other stuff:

Meca-Medina and Majcen use EC against WADA; Pound says don't look behind the curtain.
Silliness in doping control around 96 olympics, from NYT
Which rules to follow?, reference piece on PlayTheGame
Good article about doping in triathlon, (but old) by Mark Sisson (see earlier link)
Doping News Roundup at Cycling4All.

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Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Burden of Proof Problems

Possibly definitive article about burden of proof in CAS cases, by Lauri Tarasti, Justice of the Supreme Administrative Court of Finland and Member of the Sport and Law Commission of the IOC. The quick summary is, if there are any tests that say you have something bad in them, you are toast. You don't get to challenge the test, and nothing can mitigate. It's not clear to me how you would have an angle to show the test is a flawed methodology, or that the inferred result is incorrect. Let's say it isn't promising.

In a conversation I had on Usenet (link), Simon Brooke shuts me down by saying,

But as the CAS ruling is, as you point out, inevitable, it /is/ over. The only thing still in question is whether it drags out for two years and bankrupts Landis, or whether he 'fesses up tomorrow and takes hismedicine, and gets to keep his house and maybe a bike or two.
Depressing thought. Now, when I'd said a CAS appeal was inevitable, I meant that there certainly would be one. Brooke had carried that one step further, inferring the result is a foregone conclusion because of the way the process is stacked. Based on the cases described in Tarasti's article, you can certainly draw that conclusion.

You can back up and suggest then that the issues should be addressed at the time of the national federation process, before it gets to CAS. This probably doesn't hurt, but the UCI and WADA can themselves appeal to CAS, and they process seems to get to the same result.

In another part of the same thread, I wondered whether the pre/post samples were available for additional testing. There has been no information offerered on that one way or the other.
If they are available, Photoshopper advises:
For a few thousand bucks, Floyd could probably have those other "non-adverse" samples tested for exogenous testosterone. With the crappy way the rules are written (see, I acknowledge the flaws), it probably still won't prevent him from being suspended, but he'd at least be able to show the world that he was likely seriously wronged. His case would be better served by his publicly calling for that as opposed to him offering yet another excuse.
Not encouraging.

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Wednesday Roundup

Pez interviews Kimmage; thinks Floyd is in it up to his ears.
Figure out how to do it safely, writes blogger
Darth Vader, wonders StarWars blogger on Aug 9.
Chiropracter was taking credit on July 28.
Reasonable chat about T/E stuff, on Topix. There's suggestion the WADA protocol for computation is mathematically bogus, and that the Floyd camp isn't releasing values until there's more understanding of how they were computed. Also, that UCI/WADA should not release the numbers to the public, but that Floyd probably could.
It's a hard knock life for Sportswriter, who is embarrased by his subject. Case in point: Floyd, formerly of Phonax.

[updated 22:36]

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Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Case of a CIR False Positive

A while back, I'd reported a posting on USENET, which turned out to have a precursor I'd missed. The first one reads:

[quotation omitted]

The lab definitely knows. The actual personnel doing the testing should not know. And I agree that the lab itself should not know.

Anyone here receive a fax results from a WADA accredited lab? If you're so anonymous...then how do they get your name on the cover sheet? It's conceivable that the sport orgs convey identity information after testing, but there's still a time span where the results and the names are in the same lab facility. Also, my testing wasn't for cycling so maybe there are different protocols for transmitting info between UCI and WADA (I'm not going to spend the time to look it up due to a BM).

-TP
And the second is:
I've tested positive on the isotope test. Twice. And I didn't dope. On second test, I had to pay out of my own pocket. I'm no longer an athlete (was never even close to being a professional one when I went positive) and the second test was 4 months ago. I can see how people could question the first one. But the more recent one? Like I would need to dope in order to drink beer and surf up internet porn. Use some common sense folks. If doping is one but not the only explanation, then you've got to perform some additional tests and narrow it down and be certain.

In a way, I hope Floyd is guilty. I would truly hate to think that someone who was actually talented and making a living competing clean was tagged due to someone half-assing the test and interpretation. At least I was not talented and it doesn't really affect me ('cept I'm out a good chunk of cash). If I was talented, I would be so pissed that I would most certainly write another paragraph.
I've traded some email with Mr. Prail, and he's agreed to let me share the following from him with some more case details.
I can share what I've shared before which isn't much. Anything else would need to get cleared by my attorney (such as the test results themselves). My wife and I just had our first child so I'm more preoccupied with that than WADA's drug testing.

Although I posted on the bicycle racing group, I'm not a cyclist...equestrian rider (and no, they didn't mistake me for a horse as my friends have suggested). I was tested two nights before competition (4-day event: 2005 FEI World Breeding Championship for Young Horses). I learned both of my results on the A-sample before competition on Thursday and didn't start. The B-sample results were the same.

I won't get into legal mess that followed and continues to follow (not really a mess since it's going much smoother than the UCI-WADA-Landis deal. It's a mess because I don't understand legal stuff). The FEI hasn't treated me like a villian, which is a lot different than the UCI so I'm lucky (or maybe I was too far down the food chain). No sanctions yet so it appears that my attorneys have been doing a decent job.

WADA is a different story and it's not by what they are saying, it's by what they aren't saying. They failed to attend two hearings in Switzerland on the isotope test. No prior notice, they just didn't show up. I would understand if they simply said: "we're not showing up". I wouldn't have liked it, but at least that's straightforward.

I will also say that clearing my name wasn't the primary reason for paying for second test. Curiosity was the first. But it is a curious result! It definitely doesn't make sense now and some may say it doesn't make sense for an equestrian rider anyway. I agree (although we do work out quite a bit...but no reason to dope the rider).

I'm finished with sport and moving on with the next phase of my life: being a good father and adjusting to life in America.

Tom Prail
OK, the case isn't complete, so there's nothing settled. But first, we have a scenario where a guy who appears to have no reason to dope gets his own test and it turns up "positive" again. That suggests there is something going on that is difficult to account for.

Second, we have WADA not showing up for hearings to discuss the testing. There isn't even the claim of infallibility being made in the record.

It seems very curious to me.

I've gone to the FEI website and looked for case details, particularly in the case status table, but haven't found anything. Probably I'm looking in the wrong place.

Here's a few scenarios.
  1. Floyd doped, this is all noise.
  2. His pre/post tests would be CIR negative, making the stage 17 one a fluke and he's getting jobbed.
  3. His pre/post tests, and one he'd take now would be CIR positive, because there is something the test does wrong, as shown with Prail.
It seemed worth getting out for others to poke around. I suggest that people don't flood Mr. Prail with communication -- he's got a life to lead, and would probably prefer this to have gone away.

Mr. Jacobs, this is something you might like to look at.

TBV

[updated 22:16]

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Tuesday Roundup

Gatlin cuts a deal, 8 years instead of life ban. I'll say no more.

New tests, old drugs in back patting piece from Washington Post.
About testosterone, from CyclingNews today.
T/E Test should have been abandoned, says Sisson, ex-triathlon doping commish.

Rage, Rage, Rage, at Cycling Revealed

New dirty theory, in last letter in VeloNews Monday.
Mass Spectrometry Blog crows about prowess on Jul 31.

I'm backing Floyd, blogger said on Jul 28th.
I will shout at you on my blog, if you criticise Floyd.
Let's invade France! advises charlatan Richard "Get Rich" Quick.
That explains it: Lance, Floyd both space aliens.
Floyd on Colbert, in someone's imagination.
Blog Haiku, with comments, somewhat old.
"Photo of Floyd Getting T Found", blog with comments; on FoxSports.

Long running discussion on Corante is interesting again.
Sports Law Blog links musings about Congressional hearings. "It's an election year!"

tdfBlog passes on:

YouTube | Tour de France 2006

YouTube user "monoloque" has posted a mashup video featuring OLN video from the Tour, historic Tour video, still images from the race and news coverage, and music by Kraftwerk into a 6.5-minute video about the 2006 Tour.

Echo chamber, Rant your head off picks up TBV False Positive story.
[updated 22:49]

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Monday, August 21, 2006

Monday

QUOTE OF THE DAY

Seems like the only people that benefit from this whole ruckus are the media. (link)
The QoD is true -- you have to have had some exposure to the news business to understand the voracious need for new, attention grabbing content. I'm feeling it here just doing this roundup!

The judgement of Simeoni, from Daily Peloton: Team managers, doctors need to take responsibility. It was a level playing field with EPO -- now doping is a rich rider's tool.

Riduculing Excuses at Cincinnati Enquirer.
It's about the money, says NJ paper about sponsorship.
What a difference a few months make, says Idaho paper.
Merckx doctor, friend deplores media treadment, from Jul 28.

Looong discussion on topix forum, ongoing from Jul 27 to now,
and another. There doesn't appear to be a way to link into the interesting ones to separate them from the dross. Where there are links to other interesting stuff, I'll do so below.

Position paper on T abuse, from amstat.org, ref'd by above;
False Positive rate matters, Floyd examples, from a blogger, with example pictures of CIR output, ref'd by above.
WADA EPO test is fake science, reports Medical News Today, which questions the integrity of the agencies and labs. From Feb 06.
WADA Guideline on reporting TE results, from WADA, ref'd by above;
Paolo Pezza cleared from false positive turned up by the same lab in '98, ditto;
Do labs understand statistics? (possibly a re-link).

Cartoon from Jul 28, another from Aug 1.
That phony careerist and human necktie Dick Pound should promptly remove himself from public life and quit trying to enlarge his reputation by wrecking the reputations of others.
Writes Sally Jenkins in this Aug 2004 Washington Post article.

Encylopedia of Doping, from CyclingWeekly.

Very interesting thoughts about possible defenses; conspiracy doesn't fly, according to this Aug 9 post on daily peloton forum.

Get off the announcement problems; it doesn't matter, and it was a lose-lose for everyone once the A came up positive, notes this rational blogger on Aug 10.

Cool graphic of IRMS, ref'd by above discussion. I wish I knew what it meant. I think it shows how a baseline was obtained from a sample set, showing variation.

Article about Arbitration for Doping cases, from a law school journal. Reviews Tori Edwards case, which was a "too bad, you lose" decision; basically pro-CAS, anti-athlete.

DopingJournal, a source new to me to be mined as I have time. The first article I stumbled into was about Hamilton's chimera claims.

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Sunday, August 20, 2006

Quiet Sunday

I'm glad that's cleared up.

HAPPY STUFF! Lots of pictures on flikr.

Long article about Mt. Washington, Tyler, and some Floyd references
How much money Floyd is losing; VeloNews refers to Telegraph article I can't find
Open Letter to Dick, from DailyPeloton: You aren't helping
Can someone explain this? Who is Tom? Who is this? I don't get it
LandisIsInnocent shows up in Google News sponsor results, but hasn't updated his site since an initial post on July 30
Some Cartoons shown at Wonkette
Zero Tolerence for Zero Tolerance, at Rant your head off.
Floyd unwise to use Tyler defenses, says French summary of cycling news, based on spread of Hamilton "doping diary" (machine translation).
What about Manzano's Testosterone Rage story, asks blogger.
We want the Dingers, which is why we're ambivalent about doping, says blogger.
Everybody cheats, groan the folks at Triple Crankset.

Floyd Wikipedia page, fact laden and studiously neutral.
Case Process outlined in old NYT article from Aug 4.

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Saturday, August 19, 2006

Saturday Roundup

One of the images from the T-shirt site. Remind anyone of Che?

Wheee! I got off my fat Fred ass and did a 4-1/2 hour ride today, in my full Phonak Kit. Goooood. Bad: the kids wanted to play World of Warcraft instead. Sigh.

Soy protein affects TE, does Floyd eat any?, posted on Bicycling BBS;
Paper about soy and T/E, referred to by above.
Petition to investigate lab linked by team estrogen. I am trying to restrain myself from making jokes about Floyd's hunkiness values, and failing.
Still a Hero, says Temecula Valley News
"Market tailspin? Blame Floyd for everything!", says FL paper
Ex-Murietta mayor arrested. Must be Floyd's fault.
Accept he cheated, says USENET reply to my hope.
Floyd is a good guy, says Maggy in Pez yesterday.
Floyd is full of shit, says this blogger.
Public Bad Boy Floyd, Sex! Runaways! Abortions! Marijuana!
Late Late Show low blow, reported by tdfblog.
Doping...Cycling...Pro Cycling...Media...Stupidity
at tdfblog.
Thirst for scandal leaves blogger confused about Floyd
Stop half way, learning to read the news.
Timeline of statements made during the initial period

Rider's Union discussed on Bicycling BBS
About Doping, by Mark Sisson, ex Triathlon Doping Commish.

Hamilton wins Mt. Washington Hillclimb, AP via VeloNews
Good article about Restaurant biz on Free Floyd.
Suicide prevention walk; also prevention hotline catfight.

Old discussion at (Mass, Vermont) Valley Advocate, and good snapshot of the world on Aug 3.
Leno hashed at Media Life; old, from google cache.
Backstepping, a blog reacts to comments - and another
French Testosterone joke, funny picture.
Two improbable theories; perplexity at freewheeling spirit Aug 8.
Adam Carolla Show Blog on Floyd's appearance Aug 8.
I was right saying this was inevitable, crows blogger on Jul 28th.

Another FreeFloydLandis is at freefloydlandis.com; less intensive news summaries than here; page of scientific literature;

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Friday, August 18, 2006

I can't make this stuff up

Several sources pass on this tidbit...

El Pais also reported that American Floyd Landis, who faces being stripped of his 2006 Tour de France title due to a positive doping test there, appeared to have seen a German doctor.
Oh my god! It's DIP!

What next? "Floyd Landis ate a cheeseburger made from Argentinian beef, which may be fattened with steroids. Experts also say Argentina is on the same continent where other riders allegedly did reclusive 'training' in mountains under the supervision of so-called 'coaches' and 'doctors'. The burger was obtained from a 'fast food' esstablishment whose name has been witheld pending confirmation, according to authorities."

Sheez.

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There goes week one

Despite the doping scandal involving Tour de France winner Floyd Landis and other negative publicity in recent months, Phonak’s sales have hit record levels. (link)
This makes one whole week that I've been doing this as a roundup. I hope folks have been finding it useful - It's been way more traumatic than I had any idea it might be, and I have no idea how difficult this is for Amber, Floyd, David Witt's other family and friends, and the Phonak team.

It's boggling.

If you have any complaints or suggestions, please drop a comment.

-TBV

Marion Jones "A" Sample Positive for EPO, quotes AP. As with Gatlin, I'll mention it once and leave it alone.
Free Floyd T-Shirts, profits promised to Floyd Foundation.
Get mad Floyd, advises long open letter at RunnersWeb
Call me for advice, says Richard "Get Rich" Quick.
You Buried Win, Gave Scandal Page One, complains letter.
Floyd only one who thinks he's innocent, writes a blogger
Another pointer to the petition, and another.
Sunday full Ligget interview on YouTube, understands most defense points. Second lab should be used on B sample. Cycling is eating itself. Partly Transcribed at BikingBis
All athletes are doped, says blogger.
Give Floyd some brownies today, writes blogger.
Neutral rundown at this blog, Aug 14.
The Filmmaker? It matters to us, but others...
Another blog, skeptical.
Shot through the heart, declares blogger.
Puzzling Evidence, says Coach Levy.
Challenging CIR is legal trouble, PR disaster, thinks Fine, a reasoned view from one who has done good digging earlier.

Phonak Says, "Goodbye," in it's August Newsletter (pdf).

Letters and more Letters to CyclingNews; constructive, pounding Pound; trusting nobody; testosterone and agression; giving up on pros; there's a child molester in the peloton; life ban for first offense.

"There is power in a Union", feature on rider organization. It argues against sponsorship and for the old national team format, being essentially whistful for the Good Old Days before Commercial Interests Took Over. It isn't as much about riders really organizing as you might have thought. The NFLPA and MLBPA demonstrate stronger unions in sport. And the NHLPA, I suppose.

For young-uns,
There is power in a Union is an anthem of the labor movement, by Joe Hill, set to the music of a well-known Christian hymn. (He's often remembered only as the subject of "Joe Hill" as performed by Joan Baez at Woodstock). Another song of the same name is by Billy Bragg, which rolls out of the mouth more easily these days.

Letters at VeloNews. Too Broad a Brush; He's caught; McQuaid talks out of both sides; Truth is out there, man;

McQuaid speaks to VeloNews.

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Thursday, August 17, 2006

Please be a quiet day

There was about as much coverage today of David Witt as there had been on Weds/Tues of the Phonak shutdown announcement. This too seemed in-line with the curse that has followed previous attempts to make the defense case. I'd say that Floyd's open letter was largely displaced in volume by the Witt tragedy, and Jacobs' demand for an open hearing was completely lost in the noise. The timing of the open letter was fine -- ordinarily it would have dominated the Weds news cycle. The Jacobs announcement seemed particularly badly timed, competing both against the open letter and Witt. It would not hurt to re-launch that later.

On the other hand, and I may be wrong, the main wave of "string him up" reactions may have passed, and more support is emerging from hiding.

Petition to investigate lab, referred by BikeBiz
Part 2 of excellent process series from VeloNews.
Coverage of open hearing demand at Podium Cafe.
Interview w/Witt friend Dwight van Slyke in video KUSI story. Says that Floyd went to the hospital Tuesday night. That had to be awful.
Witt reported in Australia, slightly different take.
AP story passed along, with comments at Huffington Post

Defense of the LNDD Lab, from Usenet.
PR evaluation, from Micro Persuasion
Numbers Lie: How the Media Failed, from Rant your head off.
Floyd's Goose is Cooked, Alabama pundit hates to say.
Yay! Doping Litigation Season Starting! notes Bicyling's Boulder Report, taking a dim view of the demonization of Floyd, without expressing opinion on the merits.
Any coverage is too much, says ESPN guy (ref'd by Boulder); who cares about biking and track?
Fall dismays us all, Floyd is Icarus: North County Times
Long meander about saving TdF on USENET it.sport.ciclismo
You like my socks? by John Spivey at blogcritics, August 6th.
Transcript of NPR interview, via Off Wing
Attempted refutation of Eustice's IHT piece
Another report on on Chicago Vision Quest appearance.
Why the rush to find guilt? asks a sports blogger.
Landis allowed cycling to dethrone god, says this blogger.
Defense scenario in rotten tea blog.
Blame it on Terrorists, riffs Richard "Get Rich" Quick.
It's sporting to use drugs, says AA Gill in the Sunday (Aug 13) Times.
video: The Colbert Report weighs in the large ones. (old)
Tests are Dependable; UPI passes on expert assertions.
Taking the Dr. Evil, er, Ferrari view: Bode Miller, well known role model

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Wednesday, August 16, 2006

Dumbstruck.

From here,

Floyd Landis' Father-In-Law Found Dead in North Park
The father-in-law of Floyd Landis is dead, from an apparent self-inflicted gun shot wound. David Witt was found slumped over in his car in a parking garage in North Park Wednesday. He was 57 years-old.

Witt lived in La Mesa and owned a restaurant in North Park named Hawthorns, where a lot of cycling memorabilia adorned the walls, much of it having to do with Landis.

Landis and Witt were best friends. They raced together, they were best men at each others weddings, and Witt introduced Landis to his step-daughter Amber, whom Landis went on to marry.

This sad news comes just days after the cycling team Landis was on announced they'd be shutting down at the end of the season. Phonak owner Andy Rihs said that he has been unable to find a buyer for his team since Landis, this year's Tour de France champion, was busted for doping.

Story Created: Aug 16, 2006 at 9:35 AM PST
Story Updated: Aug 16, 2006 at 10:47 AM PST

A later report says this was discovered on Tuesday afternoon.

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A Black Day

floyd landis, floyd, landis, wada, doping
I've withdrawn the QoD. I'm just shocked by the news about David Witt. My deepest condolences to his family and friends. This is just so sad.

 By volume, there has been lots of dispersion of the Phonak demise, and not much at all of Floyd's letter in the mainstream media. That might change today, as the letter came afterwards.

Floyd wants open, public hearing. December maybe?, Jacobs tells ESPN
What if He's Innocent? Eustice in IHT believes so.
Letters to VeloNews
Lance right about Football and Floyd, says KC columnist
I don't believe he doped, says teammate Koos
Team seemed cursed, says teammate Bert in CyclingNews
For two years, we've been robust, says Lelangue (eurosport video)
Still wants to believe him, says Ligget (video, audio) via BikeBiz.
"Someone took $R-2,000,000 out of his hand and burned it", sez teammate Hunter's manager; Hunter still believes Floyd was clean.
Rider Market has just been flooded, groans teammate Hunter.
Classy Letter, On/Off Comments dischord, by Spinopsys
Rihs playing victim, comment cherry-picking is lame, bitches the biking hub.
Phonak was too good at anti-doping discussed on Usenet
What is Truth? from the Balimore Sun, via Common Dreams.
Other teams Throw Phonak, Astana under the bus, Podium Cafe.
More on demise from NYT
Excellent Testosterone/Floyd research, from Tom Fine
Lim, Ventura, Baker, said to believe Floyd clean.
"I thought I heard...", no you didn't.

David Witt Information

First, unverified report I'd hoped was a nasty rumour...
Seemingly verified report, from KUSI news
More detailed report from SignonSanDiego
More from CyclingNews, rehash in VeloNews
MSM: AP report carried in USA Today and Forbes.
Reuters, via the Guardian; additional details.
tdfblog,

Story from Jul 29th
Cyclo Vets minutes from July 31, hoping to work with Floyd Foundation.
Review of the new Hawthorn's, seems current.
Another review, from August 3rd - "very good"
Hawthorn's on Citysearch
Restaurant real-estate news, from 2005
More old restaurant news

Cyclo Vets article about Floyd, Witt, Baker, on Page 4.
Community Development Director of La Mesa?
2000 Sea Otter, Witt 19th in 45+

Happy Now?, anger on Usenet

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Tuesday, August 15, 2006

Shortlived

Comments on the official site are turned off again. I was just about to post, "Go Apeshit on 'em!", when the form vanished. While I have no foundation for speculation, I will anyway. They could have

  • Gotten all they wanted
  • Been swamped with trash
  • Conducted an experiment to see what they'd get.
  • Been on a schedule and gone to bed.
  • Decided to wait for the results of the discussion here :-)
Let's see tomorrow.
[update: still off at 8:40am PT]

[Update: "Witt was found dead in his car Tuesday afternoon in a North Park parking garage, according to his friends."

I wouldn't want to read stupid blog posts either
.]

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FloydLandis.com taking comments again

The Floyd Official Site is taking comments as noted below, and is publishing at least some of them. That is, all the ones I just looked at were warm and supportive. While it may be a self-selected audience, it does suggest that there is moderation going on. So far, no critical comments have made it through the moderation if there have been any. It would probably be unwise to be completely unmoderated, and it is his site. Still, I expect somebody has to read everything that comes in anyway.

Would it make sense to have some policy that would display reasoned negative comments, and let the BBS take them on? If it were me, I might try a moderation policy that allowed civil criticism from people with verifiable mail addresses. This is the sort of thing that is suggested in the PR advice I found yesterday.

What does anybody else think? Allow negative comments or not?




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Some open questions, part 1

Relevant to the factual defense

  1. Were IRMS/CIR tests done on any of his other samples?
  2. Are any of his other samples still available for further testing?
  3. If available, could those samples be tested at another lab?
  4. Does Floyd have all the quantitative results of the A and B yet?
  5. Does Floyd have quantitative results for any other samples?
  6. Does the WADA protocol for the T/E test follow the long period monitoring advocated in the literature?
  7. What are the false positive rates for the T/E tests and the CIR test?
It seems, um, ironic that safeguards that are supposed to protect the rider - destruction of samples that after negative results - could turn out to hinder a defense by making it impossible to compare before and after negatives with a potentially fluke positive.

Similarly, anyone who says that the tests are foolproof is posturing.

Relevant to PR and transparency:
  1. Are the A/B sample reports translated yet?
  2. Can Floyd post them on his web site, in either raw or translated form?

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I've tested positive on the isotope test

QUOTE OF THE DAY
I've tested positive on the isotope test. Twice. And I didn't dope. On [the] second test, I had to pay out of my own pocket. link
Floyd's Open Letter to Phonak Team,
Unclear if it's pre or/post-announcement - it doesn't address the team shutdown directly. He will fight to show the win was valid and restore the image of cycling. Well crafted except for a clunker "just" that could have been deleted. The PR advice may be getting better - notably, this new blog entry has enabled the comments feature, which had been turned off at the site when everything blew up.
Phonak Team f0lds,
Official, also IHT, AP, AFP, CyclingNews, Velonews, Reuters, Pez, Eurosport
"I feel bad for him too", says Andy Rihs in this interview.
iShares says no sponsorship, at UKBikeBiz, nothing yet on the site.
No iShares in cycling, at the bottom of this Telegraph roundup.
Axel frustrated, wants to continue, badly translated here.
Innocent or Stupid, allows St. Pete Times
Floyd, DZ at Robbie's, from CyclingNews
Support Floyd on the guestbook at SupportFloyd
Winning at all costs, minor Floyd/Gatlin dig, from ESPN
Mixed Feelings in Murrieta, in the Press-Enterprise
Disconcerting Dodge, says Hartford Courant
Last Night's Dinner affects C13, WADA's own Research (finder)
More on CIR, from Corante
Unranking Floyd is Wrong, shows bias, says Cycling4all.
Floyd pre-05 article, from BikeCulture (pdf)
Oh, that Pound, says Sally Jenkins in 2005 (source)

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Monday, August 14, 2006

I have visions of Wile E. Coyote

QUOTE OF THE DAY

I have visions of Wile E. Coyote using an Acme testosterone rocket to chase down the Road Runner. link
Bob Roll interview, audio from KCPW; thinks sample mishandled.
Claim by a Victim of False Positive CIR, on Usenet.
iShares, Floyd, Ochowicz, USA Cycling conflicts, raised on Usenet.
Citizen Pound sharing advice, in the Ottawa Citizen, cited below
Pound pounding, Julich lamenting, in CyclingNews.
Testosterone & Psychological Advantage, from The Times (UK).
More about T-testing etc., Oxford Cycling chat.
Floyd, Amber, DZ appearance at Robbie's, from Bicycling bbs.
Intercourse it all, on Bicycling bbs.
I Can't Count, consultant thinks A/B samples are two tests.
Please Confess, opinion in Floyd's local paper.
Old News about Lab, and WADA, Vrijman report from the UCI
A lot I'd agree with, in this blog, now part of the echo chamber.
Another big link/summary thread, at Free Republic.
Letters at VeloNews
Pointed Interview with Phamacologist, at Pez.
What Floyd was hinting, on Podium Cafe; first I'd seen it.
FloydLandis.com closed to comments, good PR discussion.
More Floyd.com PR discussion, on Spinopsys
Old stuff, from EducatedGuesswork, for completeness.
Lance having it both ways AND blaming media, opines FynalCut
Statistical Illiteracy, from Knowledge Problem on July 30.
A video montage from Bambi Francisco
Some more science discussion, from a medical student.

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Sunday, August 13, 2006

The UCI can't let him win

QUOTE OF THE DAY

The UCI can't let him win as that would cast doubt on the whole testing process, so expect a smear campaign to be launched both in the press and behind the scenes as this will a fight for the life of the UCI and WADA, which are bigger than Landis. At best, that is he is clean, he will be a casualty of fixing the anti-doping (after the fact, that is) machine. (link)
Questioning the Isotope test, on Usenet, also this.
Fanning flames near the libelous border on StolenUnderground
I'm a Scientist, and skeptical, at WedMD (Aug 9).
Bummed, puzzles Bobby Julich carefully, and at length (also)
On "Today", video from last week.
Wants to believe, blog w/rare image in Postal livery.
Does believe, another blog.
Cycling and Prisoners Dilemma, about Lance, from 2005.
WBUR talk show on Testosterone, Murphy of SI crushed (45min)
Leak theory, from BBC chat
Defending editorial, from Hibbing MN
Status Summary from Sam Abt at the IHT; neutral.
He's Guilty Scenario, in plausible detail, from weighlifting coach.
The Reporting Sucks and Tests Can Lie, neutral, from Anchorage.
Defending Letter, in San Diego home turf.
Death of Truth, in SF Op-Ed piece.
He's a Witch!, says NY Daily News columnist

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Saturday, August 12, 2006

A PhD is a precursor

QUOTE OF THE DAY

Having a PhD doesn't guarantee a high IQ but it does seem to be a precursor for arrogance. link
"Uh, that's enough talking", says Lance.
In a crisis, don't think aloud, advises a PR guy
Pro-dope, in the Grauniad, of course.
Team Future? Press conference by A Rihs on Tuesday
Posturing, Lashing out by UCI VP Ray Godkin on VeloNews
Diplomatic mumbling by Vanvelde
J'Excuse!, from Missing Saddle on July 28.
Don't Do Dr. Phil, from Kevin Cowherd (Aug 10).
Prisoner's Dilemma, from Wired (reference) lead and comments
Tit for Tat, (prisoner's dilemma), which metaphorically shows why the peloton doesn't fink, and self-disciplines.
Everybody Dopes, says this blog
More backlash to a knee-jerk sports columnist (a trend?)
More grief about Leno, from Christian Science Monitor.
A "Christian" view, casting stones.
Leaping to judgement: Diana Nyad.
Floyd and Boob Jobs, showing there's always an entendre.
We love the drama, so don't ask, don't tell, says The Dartmouth
Yes, I'm an idiot, says columnist, but right to rip Floyd.

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Friday, August 11, 2006

Testosterone is powerful stuff

QUOTE OF THE DAY

Testosterone is powerful stuff, causing outbursts of anger and anxiety in people who have not even taken it. link
Realizing I've become a gas bag, I'm going to limit posts to mostly links for a while, summarizing new/interesting things that I've come across, at most one per-day, growing during the day.

Reaction from Lim, third hand
From Ventura, passed on first hand
Questioning IRMS, testy but true comment
WSJ on the current State, via Usenet/Google Groups; pessimistic.
No choice but to fight, sympathetic recent interview
Ligget, suspicious of process
Letters, bashing a bashing editorial in Dallas
It could be worse, notes someone with a long memory(details).
TV appearances not helping, opines Lancaster
It ain't so, says John Eustice, former rider and commentator
Landis affair sucking the air out of cycling
Lance's Lieutenants on Eurosport.
Comparing sports, from Usenet

Usenet on Floyd, via google groups; informed and inflammatory, with no shortage of trolls.

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Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Process

The way things are supposed to go down is outlined in this outstanding article in VeloNews. What it doesn't explain is what leave an accused really has against the accusers for due process violations. There doesn't yet appear to be a case where impropriety by a federation has done anything for the accused.

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Leno

Floyd was on Leno last night, mostly covered in the regular news stories, for instance Leno Grills Landis. He appeared uncomfortable to me, and grinned with a nervous laugh at some awkward spots, which is probably better than being a deer frozen in some headlights.

I got some things out that weren't in the reports. He's not promising to spend all his money (as did Hamilton) if he concludes the process isn't going to give him a chance. You could read that two ways -- if it's just not fair, or if he sees no defense that will work. He offerered that he might have gotten spiked somehow, but stopped short of claiming that is what happened. Or it might be natural, he isn't sure; and the tests are not as absolutely accurate and reliable as has been presented by their proponents. And, important notice, Maher is not his attorney.

Most interesting, while being pissed off about the leaks and procedural problems, he started to say that he had found people who would testify.... and then Jay talked over him and we didn't hear what it was. Maybe too heavy for Leno to have on the show.

In fact, the whole thing seemed kind of heavy for Leno, and plainly everyone was uncomfortable about it. Not enough jokes.

Still, going out in public and not hiding is a good thing, as long as Floyd can avoid sounding like Mr. Squirming Excuse Making Accused Doper.

As I blurbled in too much length earlier, fixating on the leaks seems like a mistake. Better to stay on the message of "I didn't do it. I'm going to try to prove the tests aren't accurate. If things are stacked so I don't have a chance to make my case, I'll take the suspension. When it's over, I'll try to win again to show people this year wasn't cheating."

If he does conclude he must have gotten spiked (raised earlier), then he's going to have to take the suspension graciously. The ProTour ethics rules are a screw deal here, and there's probably nothing to be done about that but grit teeth and come up with a very long-term training plan with a single goal.

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Tuesday, August 08, 2006

What I'd want

Complaining about the agenda doesn't do anything to counter the facts of the test results, which must be disproven by other evidentiary facts. Finding those facts must be the primary focus.

I believe that complaining about process failures and external agendas is unlikely to affect the outcome of the case that will go through the USADA and the CAS, unless there is proof of tampering, invalid lab procedure, or an incomplete chain of custody.

There isn't a jury, so playing a dirty cop card won't help. Consider some outcomes to the discipine case.

  1. He's found guilty on facts. Complaints about process will make no difference in the outcome. They will make him come off like a criminal who is complaining about the legality of the search. Public opinion will find him guilty. At this point, he can (a) continue to loudly maintain his innocence; (b) really blow the lid and confess everything he'd denied to that point; (c) take his suspension and say nothing more about it. None of these is appealing. Few will believe the protestations of innocence, blowing would be completely out of character, and going omerto will only feed the worst suspicions. It might allow him to ride in a peloton and not end up in the weeds, though.
  2. He comes up with facts to counter the tests, and is found not guilty. This is good. If it is surrounded by complaints about process and persecution, then the victory will be confused with other issues. By deferring complaints about persecution until after a finding of innocence, the victory is clear and attacks on the process can be made without the implication that is is an attempt to hide a guilty conscience.
  3. A procedural flaw is found in the testing that leads to an inability to assess guilt. Floyd is "free on a technicality", but the public believes he did it anyway. For analogy, see the muddy sentiment aroundHamilton's Olympic medal. This is a hollow victory, and to have confused it with the persecution charges won't help the public image.
I'm saying the only good time to loudly complain about Dick's Pounding is after you've been found completely clear on factual grounds. Otherwise you come off like a whimpering cheat.

Floyd's reassesment yesterday was correct. It was a mistake for to be floating possibilities that came off as "Floyd's excuse of the day". Similarly, visibly complaining about the process failures is the same thing -- it comes off as a smokescreen for guilty action.

What you'd want to do about the process failing is maintain an accurate and open timeline of what happened when, with the documents available, without talking about it. When asked, you say, "I'm not talking about that", and stay on point about the facts.

You document (not talk about) on Weds I received this fax at this time, and so and so made this statement at that time; on Monday I sent this fax to this office at this time, with transmission receipt; at this time, that office said they hadn't gotten it. At this date, I was delivered this documentation of the quantitative test results of the A sample. On this data I received the following fax with non-quantitive results of the B sample. On this date I sent this fax requesting the quantitative results of all other samples. On this date I got these quantitative results of the B sample. On this date I received the following commication claiming the dog ate the quantitative results of all other samples. Expose the paper trail without making it the focal point of public statements. It is "establishing a record for appeal", in this case, for the court of public opinion after a win on factual grounds.

Assuming he is as innocent, there is no benefit to his hiding anything. Floyd should give an explicit authorization for the release of all test results, and show the letter being faxed to the appropriate bodies. There can't be anything in any of these records that is more damning than what is already floating around. Be open and direct about the facts.

What I'd like to hear Floyd say is,
"I didn't knowingly take any banned substance over any period. We are still trying to understand these test results you have before you, and compare them to other results I'll also make available as I get them. When we understand, I'll tell you what I think happened, but I'm going to stop guessing out loud. I'll share with you everything we present during the process, and anything the UCI, USADA and the lab allow us to give to you. If they don't want us to show something, we'll tell you what it is and let them explain why they want it hidden. If we do tests to figure out what might have happened, we'll make the results available even if they don't directly help my case.

I don't want to play tactics or be evasive. Everybody needs to know that I don't mess around and play games, and I didn't cheat. I trained legally and hard, and deserved to win.

There is some doping in cycling. I just said it. I'm against it - I win and train clean. I don't respect guys who are dirty, and I like to beat them.

For some people, punishing guys who might have done something wrong is more important than establishing the truth. It's not fun to be on the pointy end of that stick. I respect the goal of having a clean sport, and I'm going to work within the system as best I can to proove my innocence. When it's all over, everyone will be able to see whether the process was fair or not. That won't be up to me to decide.

No matter what happens, I want to come back and win this race again to show people I'm not a fluke or a steroid pumped cheater. I hope it's next year. When I do come back, I want to be tested up the wazoo and show everybody that I'm not on anything illegal. I 've complained before about out of competition tests at home. I don't care now. Every week, every day. I've got a lot to proove to the skeptics, and if that's what it takes, that's what I'll do.

You know I don't just quit. "

And I'd try to lose the "as I said before" and "at this point in time" verbal tics.

If's he's suspended anyway, he has a year to recover from the hip, and three to train seriously for the comeback. That ought to make him one hungry bad ass mofo.

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Monday, August 07, 2006

Stay on target

Floyd is starting to mount a counter-offensive in the media today, with appearances on quite a number of outlets. Much of what he is saying is sensible, but I fear is getting dragged into side issues that will not help the two major issues

  • Understanding what really happened
  • Clearing his name and showing his character.
There are some red herrings in the discussion that ought to have canned answers, with focus directed back to the real issues.
  1. Did it make sense to go on a one-day doping plan? No, it didn't. A real question is whether Floyd was on a long-term doping program that went out of balance on that day to cause a T/E ratio failure. This will need to be addressed as part of understanding what really happened.
  2. Unfairness about the handling of the protocol. Boo Hoo. It's not fair, and complaining gets the athlete nowhere in the process. Floyd was doing better with his no-excuses "I don't expect any sympathy". He needs to beat them even with the unfairness. Even if anyone did care about the fairness, winning an argument based on process rather than the facts of the testing will fail the goal of clearing his name.
  3. Secret Agendas. Yup, somebody is out to get him, but whinging about motivations and methods is pointless until there are counter-facts that address what happened with the chemical results.
The burden of proof is now on Floyd -- he needs to prove that there is something legal that accounts for the results. Everything he knows about process from a lifetime of exposure to the US legal system is irrelevant. He's now presumed guilty by the factual evidence unless he can demonstrably show the evidence is incorrect or misinterpreted. CSI makes the claim that "the evidence doesn't lie." The evidence now says, prima-facie, that he's guilty. That evidence must be shown to be false by alternative evidence demonstrating misinterpretation.

What will help?

Go take a look at groklaw for how an open examination of case and process can be done. Someone collects and publishes all the available documents, and allows commentary. Even when the commentary is biased, the collection of documents shows what is going on. It is also a way of getting the procedural complaints out in the open without taking up air time to whine about them. One posts the released statements with links to what the process should have been, and the conclusions are obvious in the commentary.

If anyone near Floyd is reading, encourage him to post all the documents he's gotten, with no editing or redactions except for names and phone numbers that wouldn't be fair to reveal. The bad guys have all this information already. You might as well let people who'd like to help see what your are up against.

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Saturday, August 05, 2006

Now we know...not much

The B Sample test is done, and the UCI announce, as expected, that it confirms the finding of the A sample. Since we don't know officially about the details of what was found in the A sample, we don't have any more useful data than we had a few days ago when the last of the leaks happened. We also don't have any of the lab data of any of the other 20 tests Landis has done this year, from which to do any interpretatation. This is the data needed to mount a defense.

The immediate effects are that Phonak has cut ties with Floyd, so he needs to fund his defense without a paycheck, the UCI will likely void his TdF results, and it gets referrred to the USADA for processing. This is likely to take 4-6 months at best, but could take longer as we saw with Hamilton.

We can only hope that the defense is better than that offered for Hamilton, where it did not appear that any tests were performed to confirm the alternate theories. Absent hard data, it is difficult to challenge the test methodology or the conclusions that follow. Tyler never ran his own tests to show a chimera, or if he did, the results were bad and got buried. Floyd is going to need to do the tests he's offered, and be open with the results.

There are two goals in play -- the legal appeals, and the public opinion and credibility. To win the appeal but not the image will leave him with a cloud. To lose the appeal while being the direct Floyd folks have know admits the possibility of a welcomed return.

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Wednesday, August 02, 2006

Complaining about the barn door

One of Landis's attorneys is complaining about the leaks out of the UCI. This is probably true, and justified, and is the same sort of ethical lapses the UCI complained about with the Lab/WADA handling of the research that dragged Armstrong around in the muck. Which is to say that there are dirty hands all over the place when it comes to doping and doping investigations.

I don't believe this affects the actual process or eventual outcome of the case. The cow is out already. It does further illustrate the hypocrisy and conflicting agendas all around the doping issue.

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Tuesday, August 01, 2006

More funny facts

More completely reported and discussed on freefloydlandis, the NT times reports that Landis's doctor, Kay, has (a) confirmed an IRMS was done; and (b) He, Kay, thinks it is a marginal positive, being a 3.99 vs. a test limit of 3.00. This might come back negative on the B sample, or be narrow enough to argue about. It also isn't consistent with the 11:1 ratio of the T/E, which might be explainable. This interpretation is probably why Landis was claiming it wasn't (yet, clearly) a doping matter. Not the most transparent way of explaining anything, but he has had bizzarre wording lapses all along, beginning with the TdF interview where he mumbled about parents teaching how to make right choices rather than just denouncing doping.

An earlier NYT report is also my source for the dispute whether Landis's camp ever sent their demand FAX. I suspect that discrepency is going to get lost in the wash, but it illustrates the chasms.

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Suggestions Needed!

The volume of links being carried feels unwieldy. While I think the daily roundup is a good idea, it seems like there ought to be a way of sectioning things up for easier use by someone coming to the site cold, and for me to tell if something is a link I've already used.

Anyone with blogger/blogspot knowledge, or a reference to a decent page that does this, PLEASE send me a pointer to something you think works well that I can think about copying.

thanks!

TBV

[updated: really from Aug 20, but I want to drop it down]

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Some inconsistencies

Yesterday, the B Sample test was scheduled, and even that couldn't be done without confusion and controversy.

  • News reports said the UCI had demanded the test without Landis's letter.
  • Landis spokesman said letter had been faxed to the UCI
  • UCI denied receiving the FAX
  • On Larry King and earlier, Floyd said the FAX was to be sent to the USCF (the US federation), not the UCI, and that he was going to do it on Friday or Saturday.
I did not see the reports from the Landis spokesperson about the fax on Google News until well after the reports of the UCI demand to the lab. The UCI wanted the test started immediately before the lab closes for a scheduled vacation. (As we know, scheduled vacation is sacrosanct in the EU, and even more so in France.)

If the test had not been scheduled on Monday for later in the week, it's possible it might have been delayed for several weeks. If Floyd had sent the FAX on the latest possible day, Wednsday, and the UCI not acted, it might have gotten strung out. No explanation has been given why Floyd's FAX didn't go out as originally indicated, nor has there been clarification whether the UCI received the FAX, nor an explanation of why last week it was to go to the USCF and this week the UCI.

There are also the bombshell reports from back channels that the A sample tested positive for exogenous testosterone. This raises other questions:
  • Is that information in the initial result given to Landis, Phonak, USCF and the UCI?
  • If not, in what result is it present?
  • If so, why didn't the Floyd camp discuss it last week?
As always, it's a cover up that ruins credibility. If the Landis people knew last week, they should have been forthcoming with the ratio and the IRMS findings of the A sample report. If they didn't know, or were only given partial results, then the protocol seems to have been violated. That is, if the UCI received and held onto IRMS results without telling him, they have violated his process rights -- how could he organize his response without knowing?

In the best case, there is no positive IRMS result, and someone has been feeding, garbage to L'Equipe and the NY Times to smear Landis, and he only needs to defend on the T/E ratio.

In the worst case, he knew of the positive IRMS. He lied through his teeth last week both about what he did and what he knew. Then, he tried to delay the B test for another two weeks while dithering with his defense strategy with a dog-ate-my-fax story.

None of the latter seems consistent with what we believe of his historical directness. I'm still holding onto theory A, he's being smeared, but has some testing to do on the T/E ratio.

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