[Superceded by CURRENT STATUS REVIEW]
On this one month anniversary of TBV, here's a review of what we know and where things are.
- The B sample confirmed the findings of the A sample. No surprise there.
- The USADA hearing isn't scheduled.
- Floyd, through Jacobs, has demanded an open hearing, to which he seems to have the right.
- We have only anecdotal confirmation of 11:1 T/E ratio and 3.99 ppm in the CIR test.
- Jacobs says he (still) hasn't received the test results. Long vacations in France.
- There are probably unreleased results from the samples on earlier or later stages, and their B samples probably still exist.
- Despite the laughter, the Beer/Alcohol theory may account for both test results.
- Because of the burden of proof, just having a theory won't cut it in the hearing or the appeal that will probably follow.
- Floyd has expressed concern about whether the system really provides him opportunity to prove innocence, and he might be unwilling to go to the wall if it really is impossible.
- Floyd has not yet had his hip operation. Unclear why not.
- Floyd has not been heard from since the day the news about David Witt broke. This could be coincidental.
- None of his Phonak TdF teammates has admitted or expressed any suspicions.
- Andy Rihs seems to have suggested maybe Floyd did something, but he, Andy, doesn't really know.
- John Lelangue has not been heard from. Looking for work?
- Allen Lim has been quiet in public. No idea what he's up to.
- Robbie Ventura had Floyd make an appearance with DZ at his new coaching center after it all broke, so he's not distancing himself.
- What the actual lab values were, for either the A or B samples on either test.
- What the values were for tests on samples before and after stage 17.
- Whether B samples before and after stage 17 are really available for testing.
- Whether there has been a "longitudinal" study that Floyd volunteered to do, though one might be constructed from the records of previous tests if available.
- Is Tom Prail a "false positive" example for the CIR?
- Whether the lab is really doing credible work:
- How may IRMS/CIR tests have they done in the last 6 months/year/2 years?
- How many positives, how many negatives?
- Are the test protocols being followed correctly from a numeric perspective (did they zero the balance before doing the measurement or was it off by by a kilo with an error that compounded)?
- Is the math correct?
- The conjectural hypotheses have become the butt of jokes world-wide.
- Floyd has been lumped with Gatlin, Jones, Bonds, McGwire and Ruiz in many minds.
- Jones learned something from Floyd, and didn't say a word.
- The media and blogosphere are unsurprisingly short of nuance. It's hard to be in the "don't know" camp and talk with folks who see only in shades of black and white.
If you've got questions or corrections, please drop a comment or send mail.