Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts

Sunday, February 17, 2008

The ToC Start

We don't know when it happened, or exactly what it was, only the result.

Sometime between about 3:00pm and 8:00pm, the "Rock Three", Hamilton, Botero and Sevilla went from being pretty sure they were starting today, to being non-persons leaving town quietly.

UPDATE: we're corrected that The Boys (a) weren't quiet, and (b) haven't snuck out of town. There was a press gathering before the start with all in special "red barbed wire" Rock kit, and Oscar at least has been seen around on Monday.

It is suggested that the UCI delivered some kind of confirmation that the three have "open files" for a doping investigation, thereby justifying AEG's position they should not start. We have no idea what form this confirmation took -- and we don't know that the principles, Michael Ball, Hamilton, Botero and Sevilla were given copies of anything. As far as we, the public know, it may have been an story made up in the afternoon to justify a decision that was about to get called into sharp question. And the story was delivered too late to be challenged. The alphabets ran out the clock on Rock, and then ran a trick play.

What is to keep an "open file" rule from being imposed at all races? Probably nothing. Is there anything in the UCI rulebook allowing discussion of open investigations? Not that we know of.

Are AEG and Amgen desperate to avoid a scandal at the race, and is doping a problem for the sport? You bet.

But does that make it acceptable to deny rightfully licensed riders their livelihoods through last minute shenanigans?

It looks like there is never a bad time to bend rules and circumstances if the riders take the punishment.

This may turn into the next play for race strategy. If you can get DQs merely by having an "open file", then planting a rumor in the right place will open a file and take care of someone you don't like, or a competitor you fear. There may be nothing to prevent the UCI from having "open files" on every elite rider, since performing at the elite level is clearly suspicious by itself.

Rant addresses all this and more with lots of comments from both sides.

Bicycle.NET has another story, with the relevant parts of the contract, and the full contract visible for inspection.

Full Post with Comments...

Saturday, February 16, 2008

Interesting Times

Our ears and eyes are abuzz today with speculation about Rock Racing at the Tour of California tomorrow.

Michael Ball still says he intends to start the team he named, yet the official start list (which we can't find) omits three of the riders, having only five instead of the eight.

The riders in question: Tyler Hamilton, Santi Botero, and Oscar Sevilla. (The spot previously taken by Kayle LeoGrande is being filled by Mario Cippolini.)

It is not clear what legal basis AEG or USACycling would have to reject non-suspended, licensed riders. And USADA isn't supposed to tell anyone about any investigations until they get to a point where there is formal process involved.

Michael Ball was late to his press conference today, because he was out on a ride -- and who was he riding with? We think it must have been pretty important to cause a delay with the press conference. That suggests it wasn't just with members of his team, but was, perhaps, a "ride in the woods" with some of the powers associated with the event. At the press conference, Maurice Suh was whispering into Ball's ear.

Suh and Ball. Photo: Velonews/Casey Gibson

Ball says if some of his riders are denied their rightful starts, he'll pull the team, and repeatedly pushed the idea of a real rider's union.

The most informed pieces we've seen on what is going on are at Velonews, CyclingNews, (and again) and the Bicycle.NET articles on the press conference (echoed in Hamilton's site).

We also highly recommend the PEZ account from Thursday, which really seems to get what is going on about the need for organized push-back by the riders.

CyclingNews is the most skeptical of Rock's chances, saying Ball will back down or pull out in humiliation. So they must be mind readers.

If anything, denying starts leading to a Rock withdrawal without legal basis would be a clearly tortuous action by whoever was involved in the decision. We wonder if this is a trap Suh has set with Ball, and the the alphabets may fall right into it. Should it happen, it won't be Ball who is humiliated: he'll be licking his chops.

As Bill Hue noted here, should the federations or agencies do somehthing against the rules, the involved parties would have no immunity from personal liability - they are not operating with governmental immunity. Bill somewhat snidely wondered if Maurice Suh, representing Rock Racing, might end up with Steve Johnson's house when all is said and done.

What is going to be done is going to happen tonight and tomorrow, as various parties consult their attorneys and decide what they can do without accumulating liability. That is, whether Steve Johnson will finally get "told otherwise", and that his options may be more limited than he realized when he gave the interview a few weeks ago that sent Landis over the edge. Or tried to explain himself later.

And while Landis was scathing, things may turn out to make him appear prescient. Should AEG, USACycling and USADA fail to follow their rules and stop Rock Racing from running licensed riders, there could very well be hell to pay.

It might be the first case of "strict liability" being applied to parties other than the athletes.

Which is a good turn of events, in our opinion.

UPDATE: USAToday/Sal Ruibal reports Rock has apparently backed down. Following a team meeting this evening, the three riders agreed not to start. This apparently comes from an "open file" rule imposed by AEG on the ToC, and confirmation from the UCI these riders had an "open file". The implications are totally unclear, as is the timing of the UCI confirmation. A UCI confirmation may confuse jurisdiction and take it out of the purview of the US courts. It's not USADA or USACycling's fault now. We presume this is fallout of OP being reopened, which has delighted the UCI. Those claims it would not be used against riders applied only to the Spanish criminal cases, it is now said.

Full Post with Comments...

Friday, November 16, 2007

Brenna's Testimony - Questions

Dr Brenna is an expert in the field of IRMS and has had many papers published in this area. Some have been referenced in Dr Meier-Augenstein's own papers. However, some unusual anomalies appeared during the course of the hearing. Anomalies in the form of differences of opinion between Brenna and Meier-Augenstein over the answer to relatively straightforward questions (the effect on o/oo values for overlapping peaks).

[MORE]


This naturally leads one down the path of looking for other anomalies. After all, their difference of opinion over the effect of overlapping peaks is one which forces an observer to believe either one person or the other. They cannot both be correct. Their opinions represent the compliment of each other.

Brenna testified that during IRMS processing of the B samples, the process was automatic and that the only intervention by the technicians was for what he referred to as "quality control" purposes. Clearly, the question had been asked to determine whether the results could have been influenced by the technicians (no doubt in light of the fact that they knew which were Floyd's samples and which were the blanks). Brenna testified that the process had been automatic, not manual. Thus implying that the they could not have influenced the results. That effectively removed any question of bias during this process and, in the eyes of the arbitration panel, validated all of those results.

Moving to page 169 of the official transcript, Brenna describes the quality control actions carried out by the technicians, as observed by himself during the official testing of all of Landis' B samples. His testimony describes how the LNDD technicians, following their internal SOP, determine for themselves where the peak of interest is deemed to start and end. This is done by observing the 45/44 ratio plot and the value of the background o/oo at the start of the peak (more on this later). The first observation one would make at this point is that, clearly, selection of the integration limits are not done automatically. So which aspect of this process was automatic ?. Defining where the peak integration begins and ends also defines the background removal (everything below a straight line fit between the intersection of the integration limits and the peak). So in defining the integration limits, they are defining what is to be considered background. So which aspect of this process was automatic ?. All of the decisions which influence the computed o/oo value of the peak of interest have been taken by the lab technician. The only thing they didn't do was the number crunching necessary to evaluate their decisions. We'll leave this as an open question. Was this an automatic process ?. Brenna testified that it was.

The SOP for determining the peak start and stop times is described in detail in Brenna's testimony. The o/oo value of the background is determined from the 45/44 ratio plot at the start of the peak. The 45/44 plot is then scanned to determine where the same 45/44 value reoccurs at what appears to be the end of the peak. This is then deemed to be the end of the integration interval. A sanity check is performed by checking the defined interval on th 44 plot and any gross errors will be observed there. However, the "integration for Idiots" series highlighted that gross errors are not required to skew the results.

The presence of interference between peaks distorts the true 45/44 ratio plot for a peak. This can lead to shifts in when the 45/44 plot appears to return to the baseline. So, by following the LNDD SOP (in the presence of the sort of interference between peaks evident in Floyd's F3 plots), inaccurate results become more than just theorhetical possibilities. They become hard to avoid realities.

The most obvious question was how unbiased was Brenna's testimony ?

Full Post with Comments...

Sunday, November 04, 2007

Too Late For Landis...

Too Late For Landis:
Arbitration Landscape May Change In U.S.


Bill Hue

We missed this release from Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold’s Office in July;
“Washington, D.C. – U.S. Senator Russ Feingold (D-WI) and U.S. Representative Hank Johnson (D-GA) today both introduced comprehensive legislation in the Senate and House, respectively, to ensure Americans are not forced into mandatory arbitration agreements to resolve employment, consumer, franchise or civil rights disputes. The bicameral Arbitration Fairness Act of 2007 amends the Federal Arbitration Act to make pre-dispute agreements to arbitrate employment, consumer, franchise, or civil rights disputes unenforceable.

[MORE]


“Arbitration can be a fair and efficient way to handle disputes, but only when it is entered into knowingly and voluntarily by both parties,” Feingold said. “People from all walks of life – employees, investors, homeowners, those enrolled in HMOs, credit card holders, and other consumers – often find themselves strong-armed into mandatory arbitration agreements. We need to make sure that all Americans can still have their day in court.”

"For consumers, mandatory arbitration is an albatross. And despite what companies may say, it' is not more affordable than going to court, should not require consumers to travel to an appointed location for arbitration, should not contain hidden costs, should not threaten complainants with a 'loser pays' proposition to discourage them, should not shorten the notification period, or block class action status, as some clauses do," said Congressman Hank Johnson.

"Consumers Union thanks Senator Feingold and Congressman Johnson for leading the charge to protect consumers from mandatory binding arbitration. In doing so, we will be restoring justice and fairness to the system and putting consumers on a more even playing field in disputes with far more powerful corporate interests," said Sally Greenberg, Senior Product Safety Counsel for Consumers Union.

"With mandatory pre-dispute arbitration privatizing our civil justice system - a system we fought a revolution for - fairness in the marketplace is undermined and consumers are denied any remedy for fraud and deception," said Public Citizen President Joan Claybrook.

Arbitration is billed as an inexpensive alternative to civil lawsuits. The opposite, however, is often the case. Filing fees and other expenses in arbitration can result in much higher costs for the parties than civil actions. Attorneys’ fees, whether hourly or based on a contingency, are similar regardless of forum.

The Feingold-Johnson bill is supported by a host of consumer advocate organizations including Consumers Union, Public Citizen, American Association for Justice, Center for Responsible Lending, Consumer Federation of America, Homeowners Against Deficient Dwellings, Home Owners for Better Building, National Association of Consumer Advocates, National Consumer Law Center (on behalf of its low income clients), National Consumer Coalition for Nursing Home Reform, the National Employment Lawyers Association and Public Justice.”


Feingold: "Consumers and employees have little bargaining power and are effectively forced to accept arbitration. This report (the result of an investigation into nearly 34,000 California cases conducted by the group's Congress Watch division, revealing that buried in the fine print of a billing insert, employee handbook, health insurance plan or dealership or franchise agreement are clauses that waive one's right to access the courts, diverting cases to a costly private legal system) sheds new light on problems, and it should come as no surprise that arbitration firms who get paid by companies rule in their favor. One CA arbitration company ruled in favor of credit card companies in 94% of cases, which shows what consumers are up against.”


Feingold said that because public courts can reverse decisions in only the most egregious cases, arbitrators feel free to ignore the law undermining the statutory protections that Congress has so carefully provided for American workers, investors and consumers. Congress can stop companies from using their unequal bargaining power to force consumers into pre-dispute arbitration clauses in contracts.

Feingold said his bill, which has Sen. Richard Durbin, a Democrat from Illinois as a co-sponsor and is sponsored in the House by Hank Johnson, a Democrat from Georgia, will allow an arbitration selection to made only after a dispute arises, not as a pre-condition to the original agreement, which a consumer cannot refuse if they want the credit card.

"The bill would make arbitration more fair and represents a chance to restore fairness into system," Feingold said.

Joan Claybrook, president of PC, and Laura MacCleery, PC's Congress Watch division director, provided narrative to the hard evidence they collected from California, the only state that mandates that data on mandatory binding arbitration be made available to the public showing that about 96 percent of such cases are won by companies who funnel millions of dollars to private arbitration firms who, not surprisingly, rule in their favor.

According to PC's Website, the report focuses particularly on predatory practices in California, the only state that requires arbitrators to publicly disclose information about their practices. The findings, nonetheless, provide a snapshot of how arbitration traps consumers throughout the country in unfair, secret proceedings where for-profit arbitrators make the rules.

MacCleery said Feingolds bill would not just apply to credit card companies but to all binding mandatory arbitration contracts. She closed her comments by saying that she considers the law as having gone astray, based on a ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court on the Federal Arbitration Act which said a consumer can waive the right to court when they sign a contract that provides for binding mandatory arbitration. "We think this is a miscarriage of justice and will be corrected by the bill," she said


USA Cycling and USADA will definitely have to look at the mandatory arbitration clause each cyclist agrees to in taking out a license to ride professionally. That unilateral arbitration requirement is same kind of clause the proposed Act would make unenforceable.

For those of you comfortable in the notion that the right to jury trial and access to justice was so simply “abandoned” by Floyd Landis in the pursuit of his chosen employment, perhaps the knowledge that lawmakers might soon find such a notion abhorrent in the United States of America might give you some pause as to whether that requirement was actually in any way, fair.


[BACK FROM MAIN BODY]

Here is a link to an online letter you can send to your Senator or Congressman if you support the Act:

Online letter here.

Full Post with Comments...

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Lab stats - LNDD 6x more anabolic AAFs than UCLA

Over at DPF, folks have been poking around the per-lab AAF statistics, no doubt provoked by the 300% higher rate claimed for LNDD in the Landis opening statement. We first looked at lab stats back in September, using the 2005 data. These are new observations using the 2006 data.

First, Nomad takes a look:

I finally went back to look at the data more closely. Incidentally, a direct link is:

http://www.wada-ama.org/rtecontent/documen...BSTATS_2006.pdf

The distribution looks vaguely gamma, but the fit wasn't all that great. Anyway, some interesting things:

The mean percent AAFs was 2.16, while the percent total AAFs was 1.96. That's probably mainly because UCLA, which does 3x as many tests as anybody else, has an AAF rate of .99. However, in general the larger labs seem to have fairly mainstream results, with Paris and Ghent, Belgium being exceptions.

The variance of the AAF rates is 2.14, standard error is 1.47. So talking about being 1/2 the average rate doesn't really mean the same as being 2x the average rate. Being as low as .48 is still within 1, while LNDD, at 5.41 is 2.3 or so over. Of course, this distribution isn't normal, having no left tail, so we can't really talk in terms of confidence intervals directly. Somebody with more stats knowledge than me can probably tell us more on this, but it's pretty academic.

Cycling has an A sample AAF rate of 4.17%, over a full percent higher than any Olympic sport. Some of those are TUEs, and some are multiples on the same athlete as in the case of a longitudinal T/E study. But the same can be said of other sports, so the higher rate is definitely a bad thing.

LNDD finds 12% of the total AAFs in the system, more than any other lab. They only do 4% of the total tests. In contrast, the next highest lab in terms of % total AAFs is UCLA at 9.4% of AAFs, but it does 20% of the tests. (OK, that should've been easy math from their AAF rate being half as much the average.)

LNDD finds 10% of all testosterone AAFs, which is more than one would expect from their share of all tests. Their 12% rate seems to be at least somewhat a consequence of a lot of cannabis use, (nearly 20% of the total) though UCLA and Montreal have a lot of those, too.


Then, N.B.O.L:
Under the category of strange statistics.

Paris reports 2.38% of all the tests that it runs as positive for anabolics.

UCLA reports 0.37% of all the tests that it runs as positive for anabolics.

Full Post with Comments...

Friday, May 11, 2007

More on Arbitrator Ethics

Our anonymous attorney emailer has done some more digging, and sends the following:

Here is a very interesting article about how the American Arbitration Association/American Bar Association Code of Ethics for Arbitrators in Commercial Disputes applies to arbitration proceedings.

The article, entitled "The Revised Code of Ethics Takes Hold", was written by Eric P. Tuchmann, who is general counsel and corporate secretary of the American Arbitration Association. The article appeared in the Aug-Oct 2006 edition of the Dispute Resolution Journal.

[MORE]

Tuchmann notes that

"[T]he Code of Ethics has served as the primary source of ethical guidance for arbitrators since 1977, when it was originally drafted. While the Code did not carry the force of law, it was cited with approval in dozens of court opinions."

He then addresses changes made to the Code of Ethics in 2004, the most significant of which is that party-appointed arbitrators are to be neutral:

"The 1977 version of the Code presumed that all party-appointed arbitrators were notneutral (i.e., they could be partial to the party that appointed them). Therefore, party-appointed arbitrators could not be challenged because of partiality toward the appointing party or attorney, or a conflict of interest, no matter how direct or substantial. The parties were free to agree that party-appointed arbitrators would act as neutral arbitrators, but in the absence of such an agreement, it was presumed that the parties desired non-neutral arbitrators."

The revised Code of Ethics changed this by reversing the presumption of neutrality so that party-appointed arbitrators were presumed to act as neutral arbitrators. Consequently, they became subject to challenge based on allegation regarding their partiality or lack of independence involving any party, attorney, or witness who participates in an arbitration.

The article cites two cases from 2006 where state Supreme Courts (Wisconsin and Rhode Island) vacated arbitration awards because of a close relationship between a party-appointed arbitrator and the party that appointed him: Borst v. Allstate Insurance Co., 717 N.W.2d 42 (Wis. 2006) and McGinity v. Pawtucket Mutual Insurance Co., 899 A.2d 504 (R.I. 2006). The Wisconsin Supreme Court favorably cited the Code of Ethics and "noted in its analysis that the 'most striking difference' between the 1977 and 2004 versions of the Code of Ethics is 'the application of neutrality to all arbitrators, including party-appointed arbitrators.'" The standard the court then applied to determine partiality was "if based on the evidence that is clear, plain, and apparent, a reasonable person would have serious doubts about the impartiality of the arbitrator." The Rhode Island Supreme Court also favorably cited the Code of Ethics and "considered the 2004 amendments to the Code of Ethics to be influential." The court noted in its opinion that it was "taking into account the revised Code of Ethics."

Tuchmann concludes by stating:

Parties and advocates should be on notice that they may no longer assume that party-appointed arbitrators will act as non-neutral arbitrators who are partial to the party that appointed them, unless they explicitly agree either in their arbitration agreement or after a dispute arises. Even so, all party-appointed arbitrators must disclose all relationships likely to affect impartiality or which might create an appearance of partiality, regardless of whether they will be acting in a neutral or non-neutral capacity. If arbitrators fail to abide by these principles, they may be subject to removal. Alternatively, party-appointed arbitrators who fail to make disclosures required under the Code of Ethics may find their awards vacated under state and federal arbitration laws where an arbitrator's evident partiality has been established.

Thanks to our emailer for the research and summary!

Full Post with Comments...

Thursday, May 03, 2007

It's the Olympics, stupid.

A few days ago, in a comment at Joe Lindsey's excellent Boulder Report, we wrote this offhand musing:

A thought burbling through my mind lately is whether or when the stakes elevate up to geo-political Olympic levels. A (self-inflicted) breakdown in the anti-doping system now, or worse, one resolved over the next year or two could leave things in a quagmire for the Peking Games.

Well, duh! Of course that's what it's about, and has been from the start.
[MORE]

It's about parts of the Olympic Movement (including it's WADA cronies) covering their own to protect their posteriors and their Interests in The Games.

This came into focus after learning that Landis arbiters McLaren and Brunet are just back from a trip together -- to Peking -- where they likely met a familiar face, that of one Hein Verbruggen, late of the UCI, and now involved in helping set up The Games. It's a Small World, after all.

What could they have talked about?

Maybe it was the same things as when Messrs. McLaren, Brunet and Pound
were the (unused) panel at a recent Pan-Am games together, hanging at the hotel bar. Waiting for a call that didn't happen to come, shooting the breeze -- talking Justice and Fairness, and the search for Truth in anti-doping adjudication.

I imagine that most likely, Mr. Pound is doing the talking, mentoring, and explaining to young Mr. Brunet: This is how the Olympic Movement works, my boy! Why, if you play your cards right, you might become a valuable member of The Club!

Have a cigar! You're going to go far!

Now Brunet is playing his cards. Can McLaren and Brunet pull off the charade of appearing to be fair as they do Landis in?

Their ruling on the B-sample testing put that into doubt, and there will be plenty more chances to use the ol' 2-1 to secure the necessary "victory."

Will Campbell tire of writing dissents? History says they have little effect.

Oversight? None. CAS is comprised of the same cast of characters, with an even more international (read: Olympic) flavor.

It should be clear with the fall out of the "strict liability" policy that the WADA puppets of the IOC don't give a hoot about actual fair competition. They do care a lot about the appearance of toughness about doping they can sell as part of The Image of The Games. Collateral damage to athletes, or sports, isn't even regrettable. Both are dispensable compared to The Image of The Games.

It's all about the Olympics.

Mr. Pound is already expressing concern about laxity of doping control for Peking. No wonder The System is anxious to crush Landis now. If he shows them to be what he believes they are, then all hopes of controlling The Games next year will be a shambles, with horrible political and economic consequences, not to mention the ratings. Should a bunch of pimply-faced unknowns sweep events that are rightly owned by the Sports Powers, the viewership that supports the advertising that justifies those big fat transfers of money would dwindle, and it's easy to see where that leads.

A quote we used long ago made a point, which seemed hyperbolic at the time, and now seems understated after all we've seen:

The UCI can't let him win as that would cast doubt on the whole testing process, so expect a smear campaign to be launched both in the press and behind the scenes as this will a fight for the life of the UCI and WADA, which are bigger than Landis. At best, that is he is clean, he will be a casualty of fixing the anti-doping (after the fact, that is) machine. (link)

Well, the UCI is too confused to care about anymore. Cycling is walking wounded as a sport. Now it's about the credibility of the Olympic inspired, sponsored, and paid-for anti-doping system, and how that affects The Games.

It's the Olympics, stupid!

Landis has a hard task trying to climb this Olympus. The gods up top are trying to smite him for suggesting they are imperfect, because that is bad for business.

It certainly would be nice to be wrong, and observe a fair and honest search for truth at the hearing, and to read a reasoned, persuasive, and just 3-0 decision.

We shall see.

TBV

Full Post with Comments...

Monday, April 30, 2007

Footbullets

Footbullet, (fuut-buul-it) n. a small cylindrical missile that, when launched, penetrates the shooter's foot rather than an intended target due to poor situational awareness.

- TBV's Dictionary of Schadenfreude


We've all originally looked at the new B sample testing at the LNDD as a loss of sorts for Landis. Perhaps we should, instead, look at it as a golden opportunity.

Assume going in that there is something wrong going on at the LNDD, but all we have are incomplete documents that don't show everything.

Now, while keeping them at arm's length, you invite Landis' experts in to observe your execution of tests. They can't see all the details of particular tests, but they are able to observe the environment and the Standard Operating Procedure, taking notes all the while. They see how the samples are prepared, machines are setup, calibrated, and zeroed, and used; and they see how they are analyzed, if not in actual detail for a particular test.

And there's lots that looks very wrong.

Imagine they've discovered and observed systematic mistakes that call into question all results reported by LNDD on IRMS tests, and that the mixed results (some "positive", some not) obtained on these new tests, more than anything else, confirm the unreliability of the process.

Was doing additional B sample testing as good an idea as USADA thought it was?

Maybe not.


Full Post with Comments...

Friday, April 27, 2007

Breaking Away

Along with introducing new contributor, John Gilliland, we're trying something new, a fairly detailed look at some specific legal and strategic issues. It's kinda long, and heads towards legal review territory, with footnotes and all, but we think there are some interesting ideas explored. Let us know what you think.

USADA’s options if it decides to drop its case


Copyright © 2007 by David Brower and John E. Gilliland.
All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part is allowed when accompanied with a clearly legible attribution before the reproduction using the words, “Courtesy of Trust But Verify, http://trustbut.com"


If the status quo holds, on 14 May 2007, an American Arbitration Association (AAA) panel will hear the Floyd Landis anti-doping case and will release its decision sometime thereafter. But what if the status quo changes and USADA wants to drop the case? Can it do so at this stage? Further, if USADA drops prosecution1 of the case, could it change sides and take to Landis’ side if WADA or another party wishes to pursue the case anyway?

We consider two lines of thought. The first is what can happen prior to the AAA hearing. The second is whether USADA could turn against the prosecution of the case, either prior to or after the hearing.

[MORE]

Can USADA Change Course

USADA is not obligated to pursue a case after notification of an alleged AAA. Once an alleged adverse analytical finding (AAF) is reported to USADA, the governing directives in the USADA Protocol (Protocol) for Olympic Movement Testing require USADA to refer the evidence to a results management anti-doping review board. This board reviews the written information it receives from the applicable lab (in the Landis case) and any written information the athlete provides to the board. The board then recommends that USADA either pursue or not pursue a case against the accused2.

The Protocol requires USADA to forward that recommendation to USOC, WADA and any applicable national governing body. However, USADA alone decides whether to close the matter or to pursue a formal finding of an AAF through the arbitration panel process3.

Obviously USADA is moving forward with its case against Landis. However, because of the public nature of Landis’ defense, and particularly because of the public inputs from a variety of sources, USADA has access to much more information than is the norm in anti-doping cases. If, either as a result of this information or for other reasons, USADA determines that there is no basis to continue the case, it is procedurally allowed to do so. The USADA Protocol does not explicitly state this, but fundamental fairness, common sense and American jurisprudence in general support this conclusion.

Additionally, Mr. Tygart alluded to doing so in a 19 April 2007 interview in the Chattanooga Times Free Press. We do not know if this can be done unilaterally by those involved in managing the case, or if it would be necessary to reconvene the ADRB to get a revised recommendation. Nor do we know if a reconvened ADRB would need the same membership, or could have different people than the original ADRB that decided to move forward with the case.


Non-Appeal Options if USADA Changes Course

Should USADA choose to alter course and not pursue an alleged AAF, could WADA pursue it instead? The WADA code and USADA Protocol define an Anti-Doping Organization as an organization responsible for adopting, among other things, enforcement rules. These definitions specifically include WADA. Clearly, then, WADA is an enforcement body. Also, the WADA code and USADA Protocol define a national anti-doping organization (NADO) as the primary enforcement body. The reasonable inference here is that NADOs are not the sole enforcement bodies. This seems to leave the door open for WADA to pursue an AAA case without USADA.

However, section 3e of USADA Protocol states that USADA “shall be responsible for results management” for the category of athlete that includes Landis.4 While the USADA Protocol does not explicitly state that USADA is the exclusive enforcement body, a few factors lead to that conclusion. First, USADA puts covered athletes on notice that these are the applicable rules5. Second, the Protocol does not indicate that any other agency may take up a case. Third, USOC and WADA are well aware of the contents of the USADA Protocol. If either entity wanted to clarify that another potential other enforcement agency could pursue a case, either party arguably could have done so. These facts and the “shall be responsible for results management” language strongly suggest that WADA may not pick up – at least in the United States – a case that USADA decides to drop.6 But we’ve already seen curious things happen in anti-doping legal interpretation due, in part, to an absence of explicit rules.


Where is a Forum for a WADA Hearing?

Assuming, however, that WADA could step into the NADO role and pursue an alleged AAF7, we believe it could not do so in the United States. The USADA Protocol mandates the AAA, using its supplementary procedures for doping cases, as USADA’s sole forum.8 The procedures also mandate that USADA (vs another party) initiate these proceedings. Finally, the supplement also lists the only potential parties to the hearing. WADA is not one of those potential parties.9

Perhaps WADA could intervene in the current French AFLD proceedings against Landis, but we don’t think the AFLD has the power to strip him of his 2006 Tour de France title – a limitation that probably wouldn’t satisfy WADA10. Also, this intervention – removing an American case to France – would have negative political consequences. WADA’s options at the pre-hearing level, therefore, seem limited. The most likely result of USADA dropping this case before the hearing would be a WADA appeal to CAS. This brings us to our second topic: whether USADA could go from dropping the case to opposing WADA at an initial hearing and/or on appeal.

USADA’s Role if it Changes Course

NADOs and WADA are independent organizations. Various parts of the WADA code make this clear. For example, the Introduction and Models of Best Practice sections acknowledge this independence. Also, the language of Article 13 makes it clear that several parties (including NADOs and/or WADA) are entitled, but not required, to appeal an adverse hearing decision. No party is obligated to appeal. This means a NADO could chose not to appeal a particularly decision but that WADA could chose to appeal.


While the WADA code is unclear in many instances, here it is not. Also, Section 13.3, which deals with therapeutic use exemptions (TUE), explicitly envisions situations in which the NADO and WADA disagree over an issue and take action against each other to protect their positions.11 Clearly, NADOs are allowed to disagree with WADA and formally oppose WADA in legal proceedings. Our conclusion is that USADA could oppose WADA at the initial AAF hearing and/or appeal level.


Significantly, CAS 2006/A/1153 supports this view. In that case the Disciplinary Committee of the Portuguese Football Federation (PFP) prosecuted a doping case and imposed a suspension on the athlete. The athlete then appealed to the Judicial Board of the PFP, which ruled in his favor. WADA then appealed that decision to CAS, and the PFP opposed WADA before CAS, siding with the athlete.12


USADA’s Intentions

Of course, whether USADA would drop the case, decline to appeal if it “loses,” or oppose another party that wants to pursue the case is doubtful for several reasons.

A rational reason is that USADA continues to honestly believe Landis’ tests were positive, that any lab errors did not adversely affect the validity of the test results, and the arbitrators made an ill-informed and/or poorly reasoned decision against USADA. While the Landis team has provided a wealth of information regarding these results and the testing process, we have not heard USADA’s side yet. Once USADA shows its hand, perhaps we will be better able to evaluate whether USADA can rationally and legitimately pursue an appeal if it loses.


The following reasons for pursuing the case are irrational, but we should not discount the subtle or not-so-subtle influence they may have on the decision to appeal.

One, institutional inertia: the organizational tendency to continue a course of action, in spite of the constituents’ better judgment, simply because that is the course of action originally chosen. USADA will have expended an enormous effort to convince the arbitration panel that Landis should be sanctioned. It will have been knee-deep in this case for months and could easily suffer from tunnel vision.

Two, USADA’s desire to protect its perfect record13. Though the mantra of prosecutors is to seek justice,14 the reality is that various pressures sometimes cause us to lose sight of this philosophy. If I had a perfect record as a prosecutor (I don’t!), it would be easy for my office to focus too much on that fact and less on our obligation to seek justice. To counter that tendency, my office needs a culture that keeps us hyper-aware of the irrelevance of those statistics to individual cases. It is very easy to develop individual and institutional pride over these kinds of statistics, and for that pride to lead us to believe in the rightness of our positions, despite what the facts say.

As a complication, rightly or wrongly, reputations are made over these kinds of statistics. For example, Travis Tygart’s announced impending promotion to CEO of USADA15. If the organizational culture places a disproportionate emphasis on these statistics, you can imagine how important it becomes to maintain that record and how it would feel to lose a case for the first time. It is common to not want to be “that guy.” However, attorneys have ethical and other obligations to avoid falling into the statistics trap.

Three, in addition to internal motivations, there is the specter of outside pressure. WADA and/or the United States Olympic Committee have influence. The comments by Mr. Pound have increased the stakes in the Landis case, making a finding against Landis even more critical to USADA. Though publicly WADA would likely downplay USADA’s role in any “loss,” Mr. Pound’s comments make it more than reasonable to assume WADA would privately take USADA to the woodshed if it “loses.”

WADA can use money as a weapon. Section 20.4.6 of the WADA code makes Olympic funding of the NADOs contingent on their conformity with the code.16 Also, Section 23.4 of the WADA code makes WADA the code compliance monitor. It could certainly use this as a basis to justify ”scrutiny” of USADA if it failed to continue the case against Landis and/or appealed against WADA. Because WADA hasn’t hesitated to flex its muscles in unfair ways, it would be naïve to believe it wouldn’t use the funding weapon to encourage USADA to stay out of the case should it decide not to pursue prosecution on its own.

Remember too that WADA and the Olympic committees have very close working relationships, so WADA could exert pressure on USADA indirectly via the USOC. USADA has a contract with USOC “to conduct drug testing, manage test results, and adjudicate disputes….” 17 We assume there are provisions by which USOC could terminate that contract18, which of course threatens not only USADA’s stature, but also its very existence. Finally, the current B sample testing fiasco shows a confluence of interest between LNDD and USADA19.


The reasons above suggest USADA will not abandon its current position. Additionally, the recent discovery request by USADA’s outside counsel and the tone of Mr. Tygart’s comments to the Daily Peloton and other media20 strongly hint that it is determined not to seek the truth, but instead to defeat Landis and reassert its hegemony. Finally, USADA’s recent behavior at the retesting of his B samples, as reported by the Landis team, are consistent with this conclusion. While the Landis account is clearly biased, the likelihood of gross factual inaccuracy over issues such as access and consultation during testing seem unlikely to be contradicted.


However...

While WADA has substantial influence over USADA, the majority of USADA’s funding comes directly from the US Congress. On this front, Landis has apparently been successful in raising awareness of the inequalities involved in his case and the system, to the extent that USADA is complaining about his efforts, as evidenced by its last request for production. Should USADA wish to drop the case, it could cite Congressional pressure to justify its actions to WADA.


Path to a Flip?

Should USADA conclude the case really is a loser, or a pro-Landis decision is worded properly, it could abandon the case or switch sides. If it plays its political and public relations cards right, it might come out looking like a heroic champion of justice – at least on the national stage, and perhaps on an international level. Such a flip could be a politically deft move, and shore up support in the US, and therefore, its funding.

This would not be easy.

The pressure WADA might exert on USADA to keep the wagons circled might be too much for USADA to resist. Breaking ranks in this very public and extreme way would risk the future working relationships between these organizations, which need each other to execute their missions.

Whether USADA would even consider such a switch would depend greatly on the increased exposure Landis has brought to USADA’s tactics and a rational consideration of the facts in the case. We believe USADA’s most recent production request is an overreaction to an unfamiliar feeling: vulnerability. So dramatic changes are not impossible should USADA unlock its position.


CONCLUSION

The applicable guidance shows that USADA could abandon the case and then side with Landis against WADA both at the initial hearing and/or at an appeal. USADA is clearly not required to appeal an adverse decision by the AAA Panel.

It seems unlikely that USADA would do this, even though fairness may indicate it to be the right course. All the evidence we have so far - public statements by USADA regarding the Landis case21, USADA’s apparent refusal to provide required documentation to the Landis defense team in a timely way, USADA’s questionable behavior concerning an open hearing, the bizarre contents of USADA’s most recent discovery request, and its behavior during the retesting of Landis’ B samples - strongly suggests it will maintain its current position to the end.

The only logical conclusion is that, thus far, USADA’s tactics reflect a win-at-all costs mentality, which can make it an irrational actor.


Epilogue

As an indication of irrational decision making, the discovery request of April 3rd raises questions whether USADA and/or its outside counsel may have violated attorney ethics rules. That, however, is a topic for another time.



About the Authors

John Gilliland is an Air Force judge advocate. He has been involved in numerous drug prosecutions involving urinalysis testing. His views are his alone; they do not represent those of any government agency.

David Brower is the publisher of Trust But Verify, http://trustbut.blogspot.com


NOTES

1 Though the word “prosecution” in this context is incorrect because Landis isn’t facing criminal charges, we use it here because of familiarity.

3 Id.

4 USADA Protocol.pdf, sections 2a, d, and/or e.

6 Conceivably WADA could pursue a fraud or similar case in the US courts, but that would set a precedent that would likely work against WADA by opening the door to athletes initiating actions in the US court system.

7 The ongoing public statements by Mr. Richard Pound, the head of WADA, indicate that he is not above changing the rules to his organization’s benefit.

8 USADA Protocol.pdf, 10b, p 10.

9 AAA modified rules for doping cases.doc, R-4. The only potential parties are the athlete (or other party charged, such as a soigneur), USADA, the applicable international federation - the UCI, in Landis’ case.

10 . Whether it could directly intervene in proceedings in another country depends on the rules of those proceedings. USADA could certainly provide public and political support, and could appeal to CAS in Landis’ defense. Also, Landis could conceivably call USADA personnel to testify on his behalf, and that is easier for him if USADA is cooperative.


11 WADA code.pdf, pp 38-40. Note also that the American Arbitration Association Arbitration of Olympic Sport Doping Disputes Supplementary Procedures, which governs the upcoming Landis proceedings, is silent on this subject. Though these rules do spell out appeal rights, the primary focus is on the process and procedures related to the initial hearing, so it makes sense that these rules are not relevant to this issue.

12 While the American and Portuguese rules and organizational structures are not identical, the fact remains that the PFP, an enforcement body, imposed a suspension, then sided with the athlete against WADA before CAS. Remember that the appeal procedures are identical, so the same section I have cited here were applicable to the Portuguese case.

13 For anti-doping violation cases involving use/possession of prohibited substances. On 30 January 2007, USADA cleared 2 testees who had been previously sanctioned for failing to appear for drug testing. They had been reserves who would not have been subject to testing because “both the automatic selections and the randoms were available for testing.” www.usada.org/files/active/resources/press_releases/Two%20Cycling%20Athletes%20Cleared%20by%30USADA.pdf. Of note is that of approximately 50 press releases and rulings posted on the USADA web site, this case is the only one in which an athlete was cleared. Remember this case dealt with athletes who were suspended for not showing up for a drug test, even though they were not required to do so.

14 The “Fundamental Rationale for the World Anti-Doping Code includes “Ethics, fair play, and honesty…respect for rules and laws,” etc. WADA code.pdf, p2. The USADA results management web site says, “We work each day to achieve a transparent and fair results management and adjudication process.” www.usada.org/what/management.

15 www.usada.org/files/active/resources/press_releases/Madden%20Resignation%20-%20March%202007.pdf. Though I doubt statistics are the only reason for his promotion, it is reasonable to assume the successful prosecution rate is a contributing factor.

18 Such provisions are common in these kinds of contracts.

19

20 I acknowledge that Mr. Tygart’s tone could be a result of the editorial process, but the fact that Mr. Tygart has not challenged that interview (it would be easy to do so via the USADA web site) suggests that the interview conveyed his views accurately.

21 http://www.dailypeloton.com/displayarticle.asp?pk=10343. Without naming them explicitly, the targets of at least some of Mr. Tygart’s barbs in this interview are clearly Landis and his defense team. He also takes a general shot at athletes who chose to exercise their rights to contest adverse analytical findings. His comment that anyone who suggests the USADA process impinges on athletes is “a blatant distortion of the truth” must be tempered by the fact that he was involved in drafting the code that he is defending: http://www.usada.org/files/active/resources/press_releases/Madden%20Resignation%20-%20March%202007.pdf Perhaps there’s a bit of bias there.


Full Post with Comments...